This month we have two papers to share. One is led by myself and uses statistical models trained on a large dataset of crop simulations to better understand crop yield response to future climate. Here are the main findings:

  • Under future climate scenario Representative Concentration Pathway 4.5, average global yields of maize, rice, wheat, and soybean are projected to decrease by 6%–21%
  • Implementing adaptive management practices could reduce this loss by 1–13 percentage points relative to maintaining the same practices
  • Some areas of the world, such as northern high latitudes, may see future yield increases if adaptation practices are applied

This paper is available open-access here

Check out the tweet thread about it here

The second paper is led by Melissa Lucash and incorporates multiple models into LANDIS-II (including DAMM-MCNiP) to simulate landscape-scale vegatation dynamics in boreal fire-prone Alaska.

You can access that paper here