Two papers out this month: Modeling the effect of adaptation on agricultural yields and modeling boreal forests
This month we have two papers to share. One is led by myself and uses statistical models trained on a large dataset of crop simulations to better understand crop yield response to future climate. Here are the main findings:
- Under future climate scenario Representative Concentration Pathway 4.5, average global yields of maize, rice, wheat, and soybean are projected to decrease by 6%–21%
- Implementing adaptive management practices could reduce this loss by 1–13 percentage points relative to maintaining the same practices
- Some areas of the world, such as northern high latitudes, may see future yield increases if adaptation practices are applied
This paper is available open-access here
Check out the tweet thread about it here
The second paper is led by Melissa Lucash and incorporates multiple models into LANDIS-II (including DAMM-MCNiP) to simulate landscape-scale vegatation dynamics in boreal fire-prone Alaska.
You can access that paper here